St Mirren
3-1
Celtic

Fraser (2'), Ayunga (64', 76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hatate (23')

Reaction

Celtic head coach Wilfried Nancy on December 14, 2025

St Mirren 3-1 Celtic: Wilfried Nancy sends clear message to fans after shock Scottish League Cup final defeat

Celtic head coach Wilfried Nancy sends a clear message to the club's supporters after watching his new side suffer a shock 3-1 defeat to St Mirren in the Scottish League Cup final at Hampden Park on Sunday.

Dec 14, 19:30

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 Celtic
Sunday, December 14 at 3.30pm in Scottish League Cup

Next Game: St Mirren vs. Livingston
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Celtic

Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 Celtic
Sunday, December 14 at 3.30pm in Scottish League Cup

Next Game: Dundee Utd vs. Celtic
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.92% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Celtic
17.93%	20.92%	61.14%

Both teams to score 54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29%

41.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89%

64.11%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21%

36.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42%

73.57%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83%

13.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13%

39.86%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 17.93%

Celtic 61.14%

Draw 20.92%

St Mirren	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 4.91% 1-0 @ 4.84% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.93%	1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.98% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.92%	1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.96% 0-1 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 6.73% 0-4 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.3% Total : 61.14%