Scottish League Cup
Dec 14, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Fraser 2' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 22' yellowcard
  • Dan N'Lundulu 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jonah Ayunga 64' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 76' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 77' yellowcard
  • goal Reo Hatate 23'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 45'+4'

St Mirren vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Mar 15, 2015 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 2 Celtic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.92% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 17.93%
Draw 20.92%
Celtic 61.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.29%
Under 2.5 41.71%
Over 3.5 35.89%
Under 3.5 64.11%
Over 4.5 18.93%
Under 4.5 81.06%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 63.21%
Under 0.5 36.79%
Over 1.5 26.42%
Under 1.5 73.57%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 86.83%
Under 0.5 13.17%
Over 1.5 60.13%
Under 1.5 39.86%

Score analysis

St Mirren 17.93%
Draw 20.92%
Celtic 61.14%
St Mirren
2-1 @ 4.91%
1-0 @ 4.84%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.98%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.92%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-2 @ 9.96%
0-1 @ 9.82%
0-3 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 6.73%
0-4 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 3.36%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-5 @ 1.38%
1-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 61.14%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 38
May 17, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Celtic Park
  • James Forrest 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 44'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 51'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 75'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 88'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 1, 2025 5.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 2
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Declan John 33' goal
  • Killian Phillips 48' goal
  • Alex Gogic 67' yellowcard
  • Killian Phillips 67' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jeffrey Schlupp 28'
  • goal Arne Engels 45'+1'
  • goal Hyun-Jun Yang 68'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 88'
  • goal Hyun-Jun Yang 90'+3'