Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm

St Mirren vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Aberdeen 0 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Rangers
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zac Sapsford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Dundee United has a probability of 34.36% and a draw has a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Dundee United win is 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

St Mirren 39.77%
Draw 25.86%
Dundee United 34.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.2%
Under 2.5 49.8%
Over 3.5 28.19%
Under 3.5 71.8%
Over 4.5 13.44%
Under 4.5 86.55%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 75.33%
Under 0.5 24.67%
Over 1.5 40.8%
Under 1.5 59.19%

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 72.26%
Under 0.5 27.73%
Over 1.5 36.69%
Under 1.5 63.3%

Score analysis

St Mirren 39.77%
Draw 25.86%
Dundee United 34.36%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.36%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tannadice Park
  • goal Mikael Mandron 31'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 50'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 66'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Roland Idowu 39' yellowcard
  • Stephen Robinson 40' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Iacovitti 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 65'
  • yellowcard Will Ferry 73'
  • goal Louis Moult 88'
  • yellowcard Louis Moult 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Jack Walton 13' yellowcard
  • Jack Walton 13' yellowcard
  • Jack Walton 13' yellowcard
  • Kevin Holt 79' goal
  • Will Ferry 86' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Adegboyega 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 57'
  • yellowcard Elvis Bwomono 61'
  • redcard Marcus Fraser 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • yellowcard Ross Graham 37'
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 61'
  • goal Emmanuel Adegboyega 75'
  • yellowcard Miller Thomson 90'+5'