Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

Hearts vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 3.00pm
Celtic 1 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for St Mirren has a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.99%) , while for a St Mirren win it is 1-2 (5.44%).

Result

Hearts 58.17%
Draw 21.5%
St Mirren 20.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.32%
Under 2.5 40.68%
Over 3.5 36.94%
Under 3.5 63.06%
Over 4.5 19.73%
Under 4.5 80.26%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 86.27%
Under 0.5 13.73%
Over 1.5 59%
Under 1.5 40.99%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 66.33%
Under 0.5 33.67%
Over 1.5 29.68%
Under 1.5 70.32%

Score analysis

Hearts 58.17%
Draw 21.5%
St Mirren 20.33%
Hearts
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 9.11%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 6.03%
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 58.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 5.4%
0-0 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.5%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • James Wilson 56' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 63' goal
  • Kenneth Vargas 90'+5' goal
  • goal Mikael Mandron 37'
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 52'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 67'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 74'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 80'
Scottish Cup
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET The Smisa Stadium
  • Mikael Mandron 22' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Oisin Smyth 120'+1' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 127' yellowcard
  • goal Calem Nieuwenhof 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Kenneth Vargas 15' goal
  • Daniel Oyegoke 47' goal
  • James Wilson 86' goal
  • Blair Spittal 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Charles Dunne 23'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 53'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 84'
  • yellowcard Elvis Bwomono 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Dennis Adeniran 90'+5'