/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
-
Ibrahim Sadiq
46'
-
Ro-Zangelo Daal
63'
-
Troy Parrott
65'
-
Mateo Chavez
76'
-
Jizz Hornkamp
84'
-
84'
-
Seiya Maikuma
84'
-
Gyan de Regt
64'
-
Mike van Duinen
78'
-
Nolan Martens
78'
-
78'
-
Ilias Bronkhorst
78'
-
Miliano Jonathans
78'
-
Miliano Jonathans
81'
-
Adam Carlen
84'
AZ Alkmaar vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fimago1069947881-1-696eba333a8a7590563540.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.42% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
73.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
16.42%
▼
(-0.02)
SBV Excelsior
10.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
52.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
18.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
61.97%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
38.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
42.05%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
57.95%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
30.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
69.56%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
AZ Alkmaar
63.15%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
24.84%
▲
(+0.02)
SBV Excelsior
12.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Team To Score First
AZ Alkmaar
73.91%
No Goal
4.76%
▼
(-0.01)
SBV Excelsior
21.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
65.14%
Equal 8
9.75%
Under 8
25.11%
Over 9
54.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
10.52%
Under 9
34.86%
Over 10.5
44.12%
Under 10.5
55.88%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 1.5
68.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
31.77%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
43.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
56.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
23.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
76.13%
▼
(-0.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5
41.98%
Under 0.5
58.02%
Over 1.5
15.19%
Under 1.5
84.81%
Over 2.5
4.04%
Under 2.5
95.96%
Over 3.5
1.1%
Under 3.5
98.9%
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
73.32%
Draw
16.42%
SBV Excelsior
10.25%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
@
11.09%
1-0 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 23.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 73.32%
1-0 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 23.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 73.32%
Draw
1-1
@
7.21%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 16.42%
0-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 16.42%
SBV Excelsior
0-1
@
3.2%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.75%
0-2 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 10.25%
1-2 @ 2.75%
0-2 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 10.25%