AZ Alkmaar
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
 

AZAZ Alkmaar
vs.
JagielloniaJagiellonia Bialystok

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Jagiellonia Bialystok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

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Last Game: Drita 0-3 AZ
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Conference League
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Jagiellonia Bialystok

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Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 27.04% and a draw has a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
50.74% (-2.812 -2.81)22.22% (0.77 0.77)27.04% (2.034 2.03)
Both teams to score 63.22% (-0.751 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.43% (-1.874 -1.87)36.57% (1.868 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.28% (-2.07 -2.07)58.72% (2.064 2.06)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-1.55 -1.55)14.69% (1.543 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (-3.053 -3.05)42.87% (3.047 3.05)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.453 0.45)25.89% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (0.61199999999999 0.61)60.88% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 50.74%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 27.04%
    Draw 22.22%
AZ AlkmaarDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.267 0.27)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.365 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.303 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.218 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.484 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.8% (0.34 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.409 0.41)
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.52 0.52)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.392 0.39)
1-3 @ 3% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.194 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.086 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.04%