Conference League | League Stage

Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

AZ AZ Alkmaar
0-0
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia Bialystok

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Jagiellonia Bialystok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Game: AZ 0-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Next Game: Sittard vs. AZ
Sunday, December 21 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Last Game: AZ 0-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
50.74% ( -2.81)	22.22% ( 0.77)	27.04% ( 2.03)

Both teams to score 63.22% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.43% (

-1.87)

36.57% (

1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.28% (

-2.07)

58.72% (

2.06)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

-1.55)

14.69% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13% (

-3.05)

42.87% (

3.05)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

0.45)

25.89% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

0.61)

60.88% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 50.74%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 27.04%

Draw 22.22%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.21) Other @ 4.28% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.04%