Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.98% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%) , while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.