Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Drita had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Drita win was 1-0 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.