Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.