Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.