Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Emmen
53.46% ( -0.32)	21.33% ( 0.2)	25.21% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 64.64% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

-0.86)

33.92% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23% (

-0.98)

55.77% (

0.99)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.09% (

-0.38)

12.91% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.66% (

-0.8)

39.34% (

0.8)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

-0.38)

25.78% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

-0.51)

60.72% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Almere City 53.46%

Emmen 25.21%

Draw 21.33%

Almere City	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.21%