Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10
Dec 21, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Al-Nassr

Al NajmaAl Najma
vs.
Al-Nassr

Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Najma and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Najma

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 0-0 Al Najma
Saturday, November 22 at 1.40pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-4 Al-Nassr
Wednesday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.72%. A draw has a probability of 13.02% and a win for Al Najma has a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (9.43%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.84%) , while for a Al Najma win it is 2-1 (2.52%).

Result
Al NajmaDrawAl-Nassr
8.26% (0.865 0.87)13.02% (0.545 0.55)78.72% (-1.411 -1.41)
Both teams to score 54.6% (2.344 2.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.36% (0.625 0.63)27.64% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.7% (0.777 0.78)48.3% (-0.778 -0.78)
Al Najma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81% (2.547 2.55)42.19% (-2.55 -2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4% (2.123 2.12)78.6% (-2.123 -2.12)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.45% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)5.55% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.4% (-0.337 -0.34)21.6% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Al Najma 8.26%
    Al-Nassr 78.72%
    Draw 13.02%
Al NajmaDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 2.52% (0.231 0.23)
1-0 @ 2.02% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 8.26%
1-1 @ 5.84% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.309 0.31)
0-0 @ 2.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.02%
0-2 @ 9.79% (-0.521 -0.52)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.577 -0.58)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 8.14% (0.09 0.09)
0-4 @ 6.82% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-4 @ 5.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 3.94% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.275 0.28)
1-5 @ 3.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.54% (0.182 0.18)
0-6 @ 1.9% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-6 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.47% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 5.04%
Total : 78.72%

rhs 2.0


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