Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 12.64% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-0 (2.1%).