Saudi Pro League Gameweek 10
Feb 25, 2026 7.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Al-Najma Club Stadium
  • Walid Al-Enezi 38' yellowcard
  • Hisham Al-Dubais 46' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Al-Fatil 46' yellowcard
  • Bilal Boutobba 62' yellowcard
  • Majed Dawran 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 7'
  • goal Kingsley Coman 31'
  • goal Iñigo Martínez 42'
  • goal Sadio Mané 52'
  • yellowcard Abdulrahman Ghareeb 57'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al-Hamdan 57'
  • yellowcard Ayman Yahya 57'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hassan 64'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Marran 64'
  • goal Iñigo Martínez 80'

Al Najma vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Ahli 4 - 1 Al Najma
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Lázaro

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 4 - 0 Al Hazem
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 12.64% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 7.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-0 (2.1%).

Result

Al Najma 7.56% (+0.09)
Draw 12.64% (+0.12)
Al-Nassr 79.85% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.48% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 12.52% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 69.34% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 30.66% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 49.73% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 50.27% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 38.19% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 61.81% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Al Najma 13.95%
Draw 32.89%
Al-Nassr 53.16%

Team To Score First

Al Najma 20.5% (+0.02)
No Goal 2.9% (+0.03)
Al-Nassr 76.6% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.93% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.47% (+0.01)
Under 8 23.6% (+0.08)
Over 9 54.53% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 34.07% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 43.18% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 56.82% (+0.08)

Al Najma Goals

Over 1.5 13.19% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 86.81% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 3.48% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 96.52% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 0.96% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.04% (-0.02)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 93.05%
Under 0.5 6.95%
Over 1.5 77.48% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.52% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.46% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 46.54% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 32.28% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 67.72% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Al Najma 7.56%
Draw 12.64%
Al-Nassr 79.85%
Al Najma
1-0 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.79% (+0.03)
Total : 7.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.43% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.33% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12.64%
Al-Nassr
0-2 @ 11.5% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 9.55% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.4% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 32.11% (-0.30)
Total : 79.85%