Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 14.57% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%) , while for a Al Kholood win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.