Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.49% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%) , while for a Al-Taawoun win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.