Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Al Najma had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Al Najma win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.