Saudi Pro League
Dec 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 

2-1

Zeze (54'), Aldawsari (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boutobba (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between NEOM SC and Al Najma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NEOM SC 2-1 Al Najma
Thursday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Next Game: NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad
Wednesday, December 31 at 3.25pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: NEOM SC 2-1 Al Najma
Thursday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Next Game: Al-Taawoun vs. Al Najma
Monday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Al Najma had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Al Najma win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
NEOM SCDrawAl Najma
50.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.09% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)26.82% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.245 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.29 0.29)40.87% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (0.297 0.3)63.26% (-0.299 -0.3)
NEOM SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.097999999999999 0.1)16.48% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.178 0.18)46.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
Al Najma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.20699999999999 0.21)28.3% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.25899999999999 0.26)64.02% (-0.262 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    NEOM SC 50.09%
    Al Najma 26.82%
    Draw 23.08%
NEOM SCDrawAl Najma
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 26.82%

rhs 2.0


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