Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.97% and a win for Damac had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.6%) and 1-3 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%) , while for a Damac win it was 1-0 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.