Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 83.6%. A draw had a probability of 11.15% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 5.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%) , while for a Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.