Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.46% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-3 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%) , while for a Al Ettifaq win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.