Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 2-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.