Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Saad Yaslam 2' goal
  • Saad Balobaid 2' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 8' goal
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 65' yellowcard
  • Saad Al-Nasser 65' yellowcard
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 76' goal
  • Ali Al-Hassan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nader Al-Sharari 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Simakan 31' (OG)
  • goal Carlos 53'
  • goal Carlos Júnior 53'
  • yellowcard Faisal Al-Subiani 72'
  • yellowcard Abdulaziz Al-Othman 83'
  • yellowcard Nawaf Al-Sadi 83'
  • yellowcard Ali Makki 84'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al-Shwirekh 84'

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Hilal 3 - 1 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Al Shabab 3 - 2 NEOM SC
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 81.86%. A draw had a probability of 11.34% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 6.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.59%) , while for a Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Al-Nassr 81.86% (+0.05)
Draw 11.34% (-0.06)
Al Shabab 6.78% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 89.08% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 10.92% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 74.38% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 25.62% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 54.67% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 45.33% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 42.28% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 57.72% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 63.17% (+0.04)
Draw 26.38% (-0.02)
Al Shabab 10.45% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 77.12% (+0.03)
No Goal 2.11% (-0.03)
Al Shabab 20.77%

Corners

Over 8 70.66% (-0.30)
Equal 8 8.81% (+0.04)
Under 8 20.54% (+0.27)
Over 9 60.73% (-0.30)
Equal 9 9.92%
Under 9 29.34% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 50.39% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 49.61% (+0.27)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 80.43% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.57% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 58.64% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.36% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.3% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 63.7% (-0.10)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5 35.12% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 64.88% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 13.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.99% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 3.61%
Under 2.5 96.39%
Over 3.5 1.08%
Under 3.5 98.92%

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 81.86%
Draw 11.34%
Al Shabab 6.8%
Al-Nassr
3-0 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 36.08% (+0.11)
Total : 81.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.59% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 11.34%
Al Shabab
1-2 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 6.8%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 24
Mar 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Mohamed Simakan 37' yellowcard
  • Ayman Yahya 45'+2' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 45'+7' goal
  • Mohammed Abdulhakim Al Fatil 52' redcard
  • Jhon Duran 87' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 12'
  • goal Abderrazak Hamdallah 44'
  • goal Mohammed Al Shwirekh 67'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 87'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Shwirekh 90'+6'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 28' yellowcard
  • Hussain Al-Sibyani 45' yellowcard
  • Ali Al Hassan 90' goal
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Salem Al-Najdi 31'
  • yellowcard Anderson Talisca 50'
  • goal Aymeric Laporte 69'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 79'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 90'+5'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+7'
  • redcard Mohamed Simakan 90'+12'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 21
Feb 25, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Yannick Carrasco 26' yellowcard
  • Romain Saiss 51' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 45'+8' goal
  • Carlos 67' goal
  • Nader Al-Sharari 88' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Radif 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Radif 90'+12' redcard
  • goal 10'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 21'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 21'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 46'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 45'+5'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 86'
  • yellowcard Nawaf Boushal 90'+6'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Mrsool Park
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 13' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 38' goal
  • Sadio Mane 41' goal
  • Sadio Mane 43' yellowcard
  • Sultan Al-Ghanam 80' goal
  • Nawaf Boushal 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hussain Alsebyani 29'
  • yellowcard Nader Al-Sharari 33'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cuellar 37'
  • yellowcard Iago Santos 43'
  • yellowcard Hattan Babhir 77'
  • redcard Ever Banega 78'