Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 81.86%. A draw had a probability of 11.34% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 6.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.59%) , while for a Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.