Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.03% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%) , while for a Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.