Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 2-1 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.