Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.68% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 8.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.