Saudi Pro League Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2026 5.30pm
Alinma Stadium

Al Ittihad vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 3.00pm
Al Fateh 2 - 2 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ahmed Al-Ghamdi

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 3.20pm
Al Najma 1 - 1 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
David Tijanic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw has a probability of 13.68% and a win for Al Najma has a probability of 8.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.74%) , while for a Al Najma win it is 0-1 (2.94%).

Result

Al Ittihad 77.47% (+0.05)
Draw 13.68% (+0.02)
Al Najma 8.85% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 15.34% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 64.92% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 35.08% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 43.69%
Under 3.5 56.31%
Over 4.5 31.78%
Under 4.5 68.22%

First Half Winner

Al Ittihad 62.4% (-0.18)
Draw 26.72% (+0.24)
Al Najma 10.88% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Al Ittihad 75.7% (+0.08)
No Goal 3.11%
Al Najma 21.19% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 67.52% (-0.44)
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 22.04% (+0.44)
Over 9 55.99% (-0.38)
Equal 9 11.53% (-0.07)
Under 9 32.48% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 44.39% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 55.61% (+0.29)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 1.5 72.88% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.12% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.59% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 52.41% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 25.71% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.29% (+0.02)

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 40.82% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 59.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 13.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 86.34% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 2.93% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.07% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.73% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 77.47%
Draw 13.7%
Al Najma 8.86%
Al Ittihad
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 9.47% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.94%
3-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 25.7% (-0.02)
Total : 77.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.7%
Al Najma
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.22%
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.72% (-0.02)
Total : 8.86%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Sep 20, 2025 4.40pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT