Saudi Pro League Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2026 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alinma Stadium
  • Mahamadou Doumbia 4' goal
  • Talal Haji 46' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Yousef Al Julaydan 46' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Al-Julaydan 46' yellowcard
  • Abdulaziz Al-Bishi 77' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Al-Ghamdi 77' yellowcard
  • Awad Haidar Al Nashri 87' yellowcard
  • Awad Al-Nashri 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Rodrigues 55'
  • yellowcard Guga 55'
  • yellowcard Majed Dawran 62'
  • yellowcard Khalid Al-Subaie 81'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al Shammry 81'
  • yellowcard Khalid Al Subaie 81'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al-Shammari 81'

Al Ittihad vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 3.00pm
Al Fateh 2 - 2 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Roger Fernandes

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 3.20pm
Al Najma 1 - 1 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Lázaro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.68% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 8.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Al Ittihad 77.47%
Draw 13.68%
Al Najma 8.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.65% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 15.35% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.92%
Under 2.5 35.08%
Over 3.5 43.68% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 56.32% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 31.78%
Under 4.5 68.22%

First Half Winner

Al Ittihad 62.4%
Draw 26.72%
Al Najma 10.88%

Team To Score First

Al Ittihad 75.7%
No Goal 3.11%
Al Najma 21.19%

Corners

Over 8 67.52%
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 22.04%
Over 9 55.99%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 32.48%
Over 10.5 44.39%
Under 10.5 55.61%

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 1.5 72.88%
Under 1.5 27.12%
Over 2.5 47.59%
Under 2.5 52.41%
Over 3.5 25.71%
Under 3.5 74.29%

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 40.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 59.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 13.65% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.35% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 2.92% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 97.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.73%
Under 3.5 99.27%

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 77.47%
Draw 13.7%
Al Najma 8.85%
Al Ittihad
2-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 7.94%
3-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 25.7%
Total : 77.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 3.26%
0-0 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.7%
Al Najma
0-1 @ 2.94%
1-2 @ 2.22%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 8.85%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Sep 20, 2025 4.40pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT