Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
  • Ali Makki 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hisham Al Dubais 80'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al Shammry 80'
  • yellowcard Hisham Al-Dubais 80'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al-Shammari 80'
  • yellowcard Khaled bin Eid bin Mhawis Al Shammari 83'
  • yellowcard Khalid Al-Shammari 83'

Al Shabab vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Nassr 2 - 2 Al Shabab
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Carlos

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 1.40pm
Al Najma 1 - 1 Al Fateh
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lázaro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.29% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Al Shabab 57.75% (+0.30)
Draw 21.29% (-0.11)
Al Najma 20.96% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.46% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.65% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 17.35% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 61.78% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 38.22% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 38.7% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 61.3% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 24.23% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 75.77% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Al Shabab 44.39%
Draw 36.32%
Al Najma 19.29%

Team To Score First

Al Shabab 61.62% (-0.50)
No Goal 3.94% (-0.02)
Al Najma 34.44% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 67.85% (+0.35)
Equal 8 10.2% (-0.03)
Under 8 21.94% (-0.34)
Over 9 56.56% (+0.34)
Equal 9 11.29% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.15% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 45.14% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 54.86% (-0.29)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 1.5 58.62% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 41.38% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 31.21% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 68.79% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 13.5% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 86.5% (-0.30)

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 60.18% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 39.82% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 28.19% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 71.81% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 9.4% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 90.6% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 2.64% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.36% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Al Shabab 57.75%
Draw 21.28%
Al Najma 20.96%
Al Shabab
2-1 @ 10.91% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.8% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.25% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.41% (+0.09)
Other @ 13.44% (+0.33)
Total : 57.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.03)
Total : 21.28%
Al Najma
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.11)
Total : 20.96%