Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.29% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.