Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.05pm
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Nassr 2 - 2 Al Shabab
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 1.40pm
Al Najma 1 - 1 Al Fateh
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Rakan Rajeh Altulayhi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Shabab win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw has a probability of 21.76% and a win for Al Najma has a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a Al Najma win it is 1-2 (6.17%).

Result

Al Shabab 56.63% (-0.04)
Draw 21.76% (+0.04)
Al Najma 21.66% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.71% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 17.29% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 61.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.48% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.08% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 61.92% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.61% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.39% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Al Shabab 44.14% (-0.08)
Draw 36.39% (+0.14)
Al Najma 19.47% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Al Shabab 61.82% (-0.08)
No Goal 4.12% (+0.04)
Al Najma 34.06% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.68% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.21%
Under 8 22.11% (+0.01)
Over 9 56.4% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 32.32% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 45.01% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 54.99%

Al Shabab Goals

Over 1.5 57.89% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 42.11% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 30.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 69.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.12% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 86.88% (+0.04)

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 60.7% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 39.3% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.64%
Under 1.5 71.36%
Over 2.5 9.85%
Under 2.5 90.15%
Over 3.5 2.8%
Under 3.5 97.2%

Score analysis

Al Shabab 56.63%
Draw 21.77%
Al Najma 21.67%
Al Shabab
2-1 @ 10.84% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.54% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44%
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.98% (-0.04)
Total : 56.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.12% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 21.77%
Al Najma
1-2 @ 6.17% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.66% (-0.01)
Total : 21.67%