Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Najma win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Najma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 1-0 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.