Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hazem win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Hazem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.