Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2026 1.40pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Al-Najma Club Stadium
  • Ali Jasim 75' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Shammry 82' yellowcard
  • Abdulelah Al-Shammari 82' yellowcard
  • goal Abdullh Al Anazi 12'
  • goal Abdullah Al-Anazi 12'
  • yellowcard Fahad Aqeel Al Zubaidi 46'
  • yellowcard Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi 46'
  • yellowcard Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem 76'
  • yellowcard Saad Al-Shurafa 76'
  • yellowcard Saad Al-Sharfa 76'
  • yellowcard Hussain Qasim 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Sahihi 90'+3'

Al Najma vs Al Fateh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 3.10pm
Al Hazem 3 - 2 Al Najma
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lázaro

Al Fateh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 5.30pm
Al Fateh 3 - 1 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Matias Vargas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Al Najma had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Al Najma win was 2-1 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Al Najma 29.9% (-0.59)
Draw 24.34% (+0.58)
Al Fateh 45.76% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.55% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.06% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 19.94% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 57.76% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 42.24% (+1.34)
Over 3.5 35.82% (-1.08)
Under 3.5 64.18% (+1.09)
Over 4.5 20.82% (-0.76)
Under 4.5 79.18% (+0.77)

First Half Winner

Al Najma 25.07% (-0.27)
Draw 38.82% (+0.44)
Al Fateh 36.11% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Al Najma 42.59% (-0.40)
No Goal 4.87% (+0.41)
Al Fateh 52.54%

Corners

Over 8 58.22% (-0.43)
Equal 8 11.4% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.37% (+0.41)
Over 9 46.56% (-0.41)
Equal 9 11.66% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.78% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 35.62% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 64.38% (+0.36)

Al Najma Goals

Over 1.5 35.02% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 64.98% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 13.3% (-0.87)
Under 2.5 86.7% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 4.17% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 95.83% (+0.38)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5 78.03% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 21.97% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 48.08% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 51.92% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 23.39% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 76.61% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 8.92% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 91.08% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Al Najma 29.9%
Draw 24.34%
Al Fateh 45.77%
Al Najma
2-1 @ 7.01% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.31% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.03% (-0.39)
Total : 29.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.39% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.87% (+0.41)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 24.34%
Al Fateh
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 8.08% (+0.46)
0-2 @ 6.61% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.12% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 4.01% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.08)
Other @ 8.78% (-0.36)
Total : 45.77%