Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2026 1.40pm
Al-Najma Club Stadium

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 3.10pm
Al Hazem 3 - 2 Al Najma
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Rakan Rajeh Altulayhi

Al Fateh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 5.30pm
Al Fateh 3 - 1 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Matias Vargas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Fateh win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Al Najma has a probability of 30.49% and a draw has a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Al Najma win is 2-1 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

Al Najma 30.49%
Draw 23.76%
Al Fateh 45.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.1%
Under 1.5 18.9%
Over 2.5 59.09%
Under 2.5 40.91%
Over 3.5 36.9%
Under 3.5 63.1%
Over 4.5 21.58%
Under 4.5 78.42%

First Half Winner

Al Najma 25.34%
Draw 38.38%
Al Fateh 36.28%

Team To Score First

Al Najma 42.99%
No Goal 4.47%
Al Fateh 52.54%

Corners

Over 8 58.65%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 29.97%
Over 9 46.97%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 41.35%
Over 10.5 35.98%
Under 10.5 64.02%

Al Najma Goals

Over 1.5 35.64%
Under 1.5 64.36%
Over 2.5 14.17%
Under 2.5 85.83%
Over 3.5 4.55%
Under 3.5 95.45%

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5 78.13%
Under 0.5 21.87%
Over 1.5 48.66%
Under 1.5 51.34%
Over 2.5 23.86%
Under 2.5 76.14%
Over 3.5 9.26%
Under 3.5 90.74%

Score analysis

Al Najma 30.49%
Draw 23.76%
Al Fateh 45.75%
Al Najma
2-1 @ 6.99%
1-0 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.89%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 30.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.76%
Al Fateh
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-1 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 5.29%
2-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 3.83%
Other @ 9.13%
Total : 45.75%