Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.79% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.