Dec 26, 2025 1.05pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Matias Vargas 43'
Matias Vargas 47'
Wesley Bruno Lima Delgado 69'
Wesley Bruno Lima Delgado 70'
<TBD> 90'+8'

Valentin Atangana Edoa 22'
Ali Majrashi 36'
Enzo Millot 49'
Waheb Saleh 85'
85'

Al Fateh vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions

D
L
L
D
W
L

Saudi Pro League

D
L
L
D
W
L

Last game

Dec 20, 2025 2.30pm

Al Fateh 0 - 0 Al Okhdood

Goals scored

21

Top scorer

Matias Vargas

Al-Ahli

All competitions

W
L
W
W
W
D

Saudi Pro League

W
W
D
W
D
W

Last game

Nov 21, 2025 5.30pm

Al-Ahli 2 - 1 Al Quadisiya

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.04% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%) , while for a Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Al Fateh 13.92% ▼ (-2.95)

Draw 17.04% ▼ (-1.56)

Al-Ahli 69.04% ▲ (+4.50)

Both Teams to Score:

59.62% ▼ (-1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.84% ▲ (+1.35)

Under 2.5 31.16% ▼ (-1.35)

Over 3.5 47.42% ▲ (+1.58)

Under 3.5 52.58% ▼ (-1.58)

Over 4.5 28.41% ▲ (+1.39)

Under 4.5 71.59% ▼ (-1.39)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% ▼ (-2.71)

Under 0.5 35.06% ▲ (+2.71)

Over 1.5 28.19% ▼ (-2.94)

Under 1.5 71.81% ▲ (+2.94)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 91.81% ▲ (+1.36)

Under 0.5 8.19% ▼ (-1.36)

Over 1.5 71.32% ▲ (+3.30)

Under 1.5 28.68% ▼ (-3.30)

Score analysis

Al Fateh 13.92%

Draw 17.04%

Al-Ahli 69.04%

Al Fateh

2-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.68)

1-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.48)

3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.32)

2-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.39)

3-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.36)

Other @ 2.29%

Total : 13.92%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.66)

2-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.49)

0-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.22)

3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.16)

Other @ 0.26%

Total : 17.04%

Al-Ahli

1-2 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.20)

0-2 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.47)

1-3 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.34)

0-3 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.83)

0-1 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.08)

1-4 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.50)

0-4 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.78)

2-3 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.13)

2-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.09)

1-5 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.39)

0-5 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.51)

2-5 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.12)

1-6 @ 1.03% ▼ (-80.28)

Other @ 4.66%

Total : 69.04%

Head to Head

Feb 7, 2025 5.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT King Abdullah Sports City

Ivan Toney 17'
Saad Yaslam 35'
Saad Yaslam 39'
Ivan Toney 62'
Riyad Mahrez 74'
Mohammed Al-Majhad 77'
Ivan Toney 83'

Hussain Qasim 14'
Jorge Fernandes 65'
Saeed Baattia 86'
Othman Alothma 90'

Aug 27, 2024 4.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al-Hasa

Saeed Baattia 26'
Djaniny 55'

Merih Demiral 20'
Ali Majrashi 49'

Mar 2, 2024 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Ibanez 10'
Ibanez 14'
Franck Kessie 63'
Allan Saint-Maximin 75'

Salem Al-Najdi 27'
Saeed Baattia 41'
Cristian Tello 45'+8'
Saeed Baattia 89'
Qasim Lajami 90'+9'

Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm

5

1

HT : 1 1

FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Firas Albirakan 21'
Mohammed Alfehaid 45'+1'
Petros 45'+10'
Lucas Zelarayan 58'
Mourad Batna 89'
Mourad Batna 90'+2'
Mourad Batna 90'+3'
Sofiane Bendebka 90'+14'

Abbas Sadiq Alhassan 6' (OG)
Riyad Mahrez 45'+9'
Merih Demiral 82'
Ibanez 87'
Sumayhan Alnabit 90'
Merih Demiral 90'+12'

Form Data

Al Fateh 0 - 0 Al Okhdood

Al-Hilal 2 - 1 Al Fateh

Al Fateh 2 - 5 Al-Taawoun

Damac 1 - 1 Al Fateh

Al Fateh 2 - 1 Al Ettifaq

Al-Nassr 5 - 1 Al Fateh

Al-Shorta 0 - 5 Al-Ahli

Al-Ahli 0 - 1 Sharjah

Al-Ahli 2 - 1 Al Quadisiya

Al Ittihad 0 - 1 Al-Ahli

Al-Sadd 1 - 2 Al-Ahli

Al-Ahli 1 - 1 Al Riyadh