Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Dec 26, 2025 at 1.05pm UK
 

Al Fateh
vs.
Al-AhliAl-Ahli

Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, November 22 at 2.40pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Sharjah
Monday, November 24 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Next Game: Al-Shorta vs. Al-Ahli
Monday, December 22 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw has a probability of 18.59% and a win for Al Fateh has a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.19%) , while for a Al Fateh win it is 2-1 (4.62%).

Result
Al FatehDrawAl-Ahli
16.87% (-0.508 -0.51)18.59% (-0.147 -0.15)64.54% (0.659 0.66)
Both teams to score 61.18% (-0.579 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.49% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)32.51% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.84% (-0.282 -0.28)54.16% (0.285 0.28)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (-0.70400000000001 -0.7)32.36% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (-0.803 -0.8)68.87% (0.80600000000001 0.81)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.45% (0.088999999999999 0.09)9.55% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.03% (0.20399999999999 0.2)31.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 16.87%
    Al-Ahli 64.54%
    Draw 18.59%
Al FatehDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 4.62% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 3.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 16.87%
1-1 @ 8.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.59%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.175 0.17)
1-3 @ 7.53% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 4.42% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.92% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 2.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.08% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.84% (0.058 0.06)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 64.54%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2025 5pm
gameweek 19
Al-Ahli
2-0
Al Fateh
Toney (17' pen., 62' pen.)
Yaslam (35'), Mahrez (74'), Al-Majhad (77'), Toney (83')
Yaslam (39')

Fernandes (65'), Baattia (86'), Alothma (90')
Qasim (14')
Aug 27, 2024 4.45pm
gameweek 2
Al Fateh
1-0
Al-Ahli
Djaniny (55')
Baattia (26')

Demiral (20'), Majrashi (49')
Mar 2, 2024 5pm
gameweek 22
Al-Ahli
1-1
Al Fateh
Saint-Maximin (75')
Ibanez (10'), Kessie (63')
Ibanez (14')
Tello (45+8')
Al-Najdi (27'), Baattia (41'), Lajami (90+9')
Baattia (89')
Sep 2, 2023 7pm
gameweek 5
Al Fateh
5-1
Al-Ahli
Albirakan (21' pen.), Zelarayan (58'), Batna (89' pen., 90+3'), Bendebka (90+14' pen.)
Alfehaid (45+1'), Petros (45+10'), Batna (90+2')
Sadiq Alhassan (6' og.)
Mahrez (45+9'), Demiral (82'), Ibanez (87'), Alnabit (90')
Demiral (90+12')