Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Quadisiya win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.