Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.14% and a win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%) , while for a Al Gharafa win it was 1-2 (4.46%).