AFC Champions League Gameweek 7
Feb 10, 2026 6.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
LIVE Alinma Stadium
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 3' goal
  • Houssem Aouar 20' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 49' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 51' goal
  • yellowcard Alvaro Djalo 46'

Al Ittihad vs Al Gharafa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 6.15pm
Al Ittihad 1 - 0 Nasaf

Al Gharafa

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 6.15pm
Al Gharafa 1 - 0 Al Wahda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.14% and a win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%) , while for a Al Gharafa win it was 1-2 (4.46%).

Result

Al Ittihad 65.73% (+0.05)
Draw 18.14% (+0.13)
Al Gharafa 16.16% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.7% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.32% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 17.68% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 61.9% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 38.1% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 39.32% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 60.68% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 27.14% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 72.86% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Al Ittihad 53.87% (+0.69)
Draw 30.8% (-0.67)
Al Gharafa 15.32% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Al Ittihad 69.2% (-0.12)
No Goal 4.12% (+0.03)
Al Gharafa 26.68% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.13% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 26.48% (+0.02)
Over 9 52.1% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.03% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.87% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 41.31% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 58.69% (+0.01)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 1.5 63.03% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 36.97% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 38.07% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 61.93% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 19.46% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 80.54% (-0.15)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5 50.02% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 49.98% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.82% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.18% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.4% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 65.73%
Draw 18.14%
Al Gharafa 16.16%
Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.48%
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.52% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.05)
Other @ 19.36% (+0.13)
Total : 65.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.76% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 18.14%
Al Gharafa
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.72% (-0.05)
Total : 16.16%