Qatar Stars League Gameweek 15
Feb 5, 2026 2.45pm
Thani Bin Jassim Stadium

Al-Sailiya vs Al Gharafa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Sailiya

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 2.45pm
Al Shamal 0 - 0 Al-Sailiya
Goals scored
9

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 4.45pm
Al Gharafa 0 - 0 Al-Sadd
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Joselu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Al-Sailiya has a probability of 31.78% and a draw has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Al-Sailiya win is 2-1 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Al-Sailiya 31.78% (-0.21)
Draw 24.58% (+0.18)
Al Gharafa 43.64% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.04% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 57.41% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 42.59% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 35.7% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 64.3% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 20.82% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 79.18% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Al-Sailiya 25.87% (+0.11)
Draw 39.85% (-0.04)
Al Gharafa 34.28% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Al-Sailiya 42.33% (+0.26)
No Goal 5.36% (+0.08)
Al Gharafa 52.31% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 57.7% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 30.68% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.88%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 42.3% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.84%
Under 10.5 65.16%

Al-Sailiya Goals

Over 1.5 36.19% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.81% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.94% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 85.06% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.88% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.12% (+0.03)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5 76.48% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.52% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.49% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 53.51% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 22.23% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.77% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.27%
Under 3.5 91.73%

Score analysis

Al-Sailiya 31.78%
Draw 24.57%
Al Gharafa 43.64%
Al-Sailiya
2-1 @ 7.2% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.84% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.68% (-0.08)
Total : 31.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.36% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.58% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.06)
Total : 24.57%
Al Gharafa
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.12)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.59% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.69% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.07% (-0.05)
Total : 43.64%

Head to Head

Qatar Stars League
Sep 12, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT