Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Al Shahaniya had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Al Shahaniya win was 2-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.