Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.84% and a win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Wahda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%) , while for a Al Gharafa win it was 2-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.