Qatar Stars League Gameweek 14
Jan 31, 2026 4.45pm
Grand Hamad Stadium

Al Gharafa vs Al-Sadd - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Jan 15, 2026 4.30pm
Al Arabi 1 - 2 Al Gharafa
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Joselu

Al-Sadd

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 4.30pm
Al-Sadd 2 - 0 Al Ahli
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Al Gharafa has a probability of 30.44% and a draw has a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.86%) and 1-3 (5.87%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win is 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.17%).

Result

Al Gharafa 30.44% (+0.37)
Draw 21.19% (+0.38)
Al-Sadd 48.38% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.58% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.69% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 14.31% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 67.28% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 32.72% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 44.61% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 55.39% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 28.25% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 71.75% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Al Gharafa 27% (-0.06)
Draw 37.68% (+0.11)
Al-Sadd 35.32% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Al Gharafa 41.93% (-0.29)
No Goal 3.05% (+0.05)
Al-Sadd 55.02% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 57.31% (+0.28)
Equal 8 11.52% (+0.06)
Under 8 31.17% (-0.33)
Over 9 45.64% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.67% (+0.08)
Under 9 42.69% (-0.28)
Over 10.5 34.78% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 65.22% (-0.13)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 1.5 39.62% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 60.38% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 17.88% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 82.12% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 7.45% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 92.55% (-0.13)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5 80.2% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 19.8% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 53.59% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 46.41% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 27.78% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 72.22% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 11.64% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 88.36% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Al Gharafa 30.44%
Draw 21.19%
Al-Sadd 48.38%
Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 6.91% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 4.41% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.1% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.87% (+0.11)
Other @ 7.1% (+0.10)
Total : 30.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.83% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.05% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35% (+0.02)
Total : 21.19%
Al-Sadd
1-2 @ 10.03% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 4.62% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.29% (-0.31)
Total : 48.38%

Head to Head

Qatar Stars League
Aug 28, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 17
Feb 27, 2025 1.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Thani Bin Jassim Stadium
  • Seydou Sano 87' redcard
  • goal Akram Afif 25'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 55'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 70'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 77'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2024 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Ro-Ro 4' goal
  • Cristo 7' goal
  • Mohamed Camara 19' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Al Yazidi 21' yellowcard
  • Akram Afif 27' goal
  • Ro-Ro 67' yellowcard
  • Tarek Salman 75' yellowcard
  • Paulo Otavio 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Hassan Al Heidos 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Amro Surag 18'
  • goal Joselu 42'
  • goal Yacine Brahimi 59'
  • yellowcard Dame Traore 82'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 16
Mar 6, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Grand Hamad Stadium
  • Pedro Martins 21' yellowcard
  • Abdalla Yousif 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ferjani Sassi 71' goal
  • Boualem Khoukhi 82' goal
  • yellowcard Guilherme 20'
  • goal Seydou Sano 45'+1' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Bayati 75'
  • goal Youssef Abdel Razaq 80'
  • yellowcard Ali Assadalla 86'
Qatar Stars League Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2023 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Akram Afif 27' goal
  • Hassan Al Heidos 30' goal
  • Akram Afif 33' yellowcard
  • Hassan Al Heidos 34' yellowcard
  • Youssef Abdel Razaq 48' yellowcard
  • Ali Assadalla 54' goal
  • Ali Assadalla 60' goal
  • Mohammad Amin Hazbavi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lyanco 25'
  • yellowcard Farid Boulaya 56'
  • yellowcard Yacine Brahimi 64'
  • redcard Lyanco 90'