Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 12
Jan 6, 2026 at 2.30pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ahli 0-3 Umm Salal
Monday, December 29 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Shahaniya 3-0 Al Gharafa
Saturday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Umm Salal has a probability of 37.76% and a draw has a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Umm Salal win is 2-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.6%).

Result
Umm SalalDrawAl Gharafa
37.76%23.61%38.63%
Both teams to score 62.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08%38.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77%61.23%
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15%20.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46%53.54%
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12%52.88%
Score Analysis
    Umm Salal 37.76%
    Al Gharafa 38.63%
    Draw 23.6%
Umm SalalDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.32%
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.63%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2025 6.30pm
Mar 7, 2025 6.30pm
gameweek 18
Umm Salal
0-1
Al Gharafa

Michael Essien (53'), Al Rashidi (62')
Joselu (45+3')
Yousif (69'), Muntari (90+7')
Oct 18, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 7
Al Gharafa
3-1
Umm Salal
Joselu (62' pen.), Sassi (88'), Hamed (90+8')
Diaz (74')
Mance (49')
Badji (84')
Apr 7, 2024 7.30pm
gameweek 20
Al Gharafa
1-1
Umm Salal
Sassi (65')
Sano (45+3'), Sassi (71')
Gorre (90+3')
Joao (38'), Al-Zereiqi (54'), Tannane (87')
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 9
Umm Salal
1-2
Al Gharafa
Gorre (57')
Carteron (37'), Louadni (90'), Hassunin (90'), Al-Sulaimane (90+1'), Tannane (90+3')
Carteron (0')
Boulaya (40'), Sassi (89')
Surag (36'), Traore (90+4')