Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 11
Dec 29, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
 

Al Ahli
vs.
Umm Salal

Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Umm Salal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Sailiya 1-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, November 1 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Umm Salal

All competitions
Last Game: Umm Salal 0-5 Al Shamal
Saturday, November 1 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Al Ahli has a probability of 34.66% and a draw has a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.64%) and 1-3 (5.27%). The likeliest Al Ahli win is 2-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.26%).

Result
Al AhliDrawUmm Salal
34.66%22.21%43.13%
Both teams to score 67.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7%32.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.08%53.91%
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62%19.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.82%51.18%
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23%15.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11%44.89%
Score Analysis
    Al Ahli 34.66%
    Umm Salal 43.13%
    Draw 22.21%
Al AhliDrawUmm Salal
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 4.16%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-3 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 7.02%
0-0 @ 3.06%
3-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 5.21%
2-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.48%
3-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 43.13%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 4.30pm
gameweek 21
Al Ahli
0-1
Umm Salal

Yansane (45'), Doumbia (63')
Doumbia (90+1')
Mance (41' pen.)
Mance (57'), Al-Sulaimane (60'), Al Rashidi (84')
Al-Sulaimane (90+5')
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
gameweek 10
Umm Salal
0-3
Al Ahli

Laidouni (77'), Tannane (77'), Lekhal (90+5')
Mance (10' og.), Exposito (29'), Doumbia (36')
Fettouhi (13'), Tannane (90+5')
Feb 29, 2024 5pm
gameweek 15
Al Ahli
1-2
Umm Salal
Yansane (4')
Tihi (85'), Doumbia (86')
Lekhal (32'), Al-Nasr (45+4')
Louadni (18'), Tannane (82'), Barimil (90+4')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
gameweek 4
Umm Salal
3-1
Al Ahli
Tannane (17', 65'), Louadni (37')
Al-Sulaimane (77'), Al-Shammari (90+9'), Delort (90+5')
Sliti (73')
Mohammed Omar (51'), Al Sebai (55')