Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 2-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.