Saudi Pro League Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 3.15pm
Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 5.30pm
Al Ittihad 1 - 0 Al Najma
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ahmed Al-Ghamdi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.05%. A win for Al Ittihad has a probability of 21.78% and a draw has a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win is 1-2 (5.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.28%).

Result

Al-Nassr 58.05% (+0.08)
Draw 20.16% (-0.02)
Al Ittihad 21.78% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.87% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 11.93% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 70.69% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 29.31% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 48.74% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 51.26% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 31.83% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 68.17% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 50.25% (+0.01)
Draw 29.04%
Al Ittihad 20.71% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 61.36% (-0.01)
No Goal 2.57% (-0.02)
Al Ittihad 36.07% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.31% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.38% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.31% (+0.04)
Over 9 50.44% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 38.69% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.93% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 60.07% (+0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 64.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 35.81% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 38.21% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 61.79% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 18.94% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 81.06% (-0.05)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 60.85% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 39.15% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 32.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.44% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.56% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.02% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 58.06%
Draw 20.17%
Al Ittihad 21.78%
Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.15% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.83% (+0.04)
Other @ 18.47% (+0.04)
Total : 58.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.28% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 7.04% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.47% (+0.01)
Total : 20.17%
Al Ittihad
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-2 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51% (+0.01)
Total : 21.78%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Sep 26, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 30
May 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Sadio Mane 3' goal
  • Ayman Yahya 37' goal
  • Ali Al Hassan 61' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Alkhaibari 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 49'
  • goal N'Golo Kante 52'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 67'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al Amri 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabinho 90'+3'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 90'+4'
  • redcard Moussa Diaby 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 90'+7'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Karim Benzema 55' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 60' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 64' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 67' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 24'
  • yellowcard Sultan Al-Ghanam 42'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 57'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 59'
  • yellowcard Otavio 67'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Sadio Mane 3' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 45'+3' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 69' goal
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 78' goal
  • Meshari Al Nemer 90'+5' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Amri 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Abdulelah Al Amri 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suwailem Al Menhali 51'
  • redcard Suwailem Al Menhali 66'
  • goal Farhah Al-Shamrani 89'
  • goal Fabinho 90'+2'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2023 6.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 2
FT King Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 14' goal
  • Faisal Al-Ghamdi 28' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kante 40' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 47' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 51' goal
  • Fabinho 60' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 66' redcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Castro 29'
  • yellowcard Seko Fofana 30'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 38'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+11'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 68'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 70'
  • goal Sadio Mane 75'
  • goal Sadio Mane 82'