Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 21.81% and a draw had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.