Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 12.61% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.18%) and 1-3 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.