Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 81.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.48% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 7.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.16%) and 0-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.