Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.05% and a win for NEOM SC had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%) , while for a NEOM SC win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.