Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT King Khalid Sport City Stadium
  • Mohammed Al Burayk 42' goal
  • Mohammed Al-Burayk 42' goal
  • Luciano Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Islam Hawsawi 73' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodríguez 73' yellowcard
  • Hassan Al-Ali 83' yellowcard
  • Thamer Fathi Al Khaibri 83' yellowcard
  • Thamer Al-Khaibri 83' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Abdoh Jaber 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Abdu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Hassan Tambakti 49'
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 66'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 66'
  • yellowcard Nasser Al-Dawsari 76'
  • yellowcard Moteb Al-Harbi 76'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al Hamdan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kaio Cesar 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al-Hamdan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kaio César 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami 90'+6'

NEOM SC vs Al-Hilal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Al Shabab 3 - 2 NEOM SC
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Hilal 3 - 1 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.05% and a win for NEOM SC had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%) , while for a NEOM SC win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

NEOM SC 13.61% (-0.98)
Draw 16.05% (-0.18)
Al-Hilal 70.29% (+1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02% (-1.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.29% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 16.71% (+0.97)
Over 2.5 63.5% (-1.60)
Under 2.5 36.5% (+1.60)
Over 3.5 42.73% (-1.62)
Under 3.5 57.27% (+1.67)
Over 4.5 29.72% (-1.14)
Under 4.5 70.28% (+1.13)

First Half Winner

NEOM SC 15.34% (-0.33)
Draw 36.61% (+0.48)
Al-Hilal 48.05% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

NEOM SC 27.27% (-0.77)
No Goal 3.34% (+0.18)
Al-Hilal 69.39% (+0.58)

Corners

Over 8 58.33% (-0.56)
Equal 8 11.25% (+0.03)
Under 8 30.42% (+0.53)
Over 9 46.82% (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.67% (+0.56)
Over 10.5 36.01% (-0.47)
Under 10.5 63.99% (+0.47)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 1.5 19.61% (-1.68)
Under 1.5 80.39% (+1.69)
Over 2.5 5.6% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 94.4% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 1.49% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 98.51% (+0.31)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 89.67% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 10.33% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 67.25% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 32.75% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 41.09% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 58.91% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 21.72% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 78.28% (+0.32)

Score analysis

NEOM SC 13.61%
Draw 16.06%
Al-Hilal 70.29%
NEOM SC
2-1 @ 3.7% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.81% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.48% (-0.26)
Total : 13.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.34% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.30)
0-0 @ 3.34% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.04)
Total : 16.06%
Al-Hilal
0-2 @ 10.63% (+0.61)
0-1 @ 9.83% (+0.76)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 7.17% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.18)
Other @ 21.71% (-0.27)
Total : 70.29%