Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT King Khalid Sport City Stadium
  • Mohammed Al Burayk 42' goal
  • Mohammed Al-Burayk 42' goal
  • Luciano Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Islam Hawsawi 73' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodríguez 73' yellowcard
  • Hassan Al-Ali 83' yellowcard
  • Thamer Fathi Al Khaibri 83' yellowcard
  • Thamer Al-Khaibri 83' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Abdoh Jaber 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Abdu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Hassan Tambakti 49'
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 66'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 66'
  • yellowcard Nasser Al-Dawsari 76'
  • yellowcard Moteb Al-Harbi 76'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al Hamdan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kaio Cesar 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al-Hamdan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kaio César 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami 90'+6'

NEOM SC vs Al-Hilal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Al Shabab 3 - 2 NEOM SC
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Nathan Zeze

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Hilal 3 - 1 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Mohammed Kanoo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.05% and a win for NEOM SC had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%) , while for a NEOM SC win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

NEOM SC 13.61% (-0.98)
Draw 16.05% (-0.18)
Al-Hilal 70.29% (+1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02% (-1.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.29% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 16.71% (+0.97)
Over 2.5 63.5% (-1.60)
Under 2.5 36.5% (+1.60)
Over 3.5 42.73% (-1.62)
Under 3.5 57.27% (+1.67)
Over 4.5 29.72% (-1.14)
Under 4.5 70.28% (+1.13)

First Half Winner

NEOM SC 15.34% (-0.33)
Draw 36.61% (+0.48)
Al-Hilal 48.05% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

NEOM SC 27.27% (-0.77)
No Goal 3.34% (+0.18)
Al-Hilal 69.39% (+0.58)

Corners

Over 8 58.33% (-0.56)
Equal 8 11.25% (+0.03)
Under 8 30.42% (+0.53)
Over 9 46.82% (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.67% (+0.56)
Over 10.5 36.01% (-0.47)
Under 10.5 63.99% (+0.47)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 1.5 19.61% (-1.68)
Under 1.5 80.39% (+1.69)
Over 2.5 5.6% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 94.4% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 1.49% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 98.51% (+0.31)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 89.67% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 10.33% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 67.25% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 32.75% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 41.09% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 58.91% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 21.72% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 78.28% (+0.32)

Score analysis

NEOM SC 13.61%
Draw 16.06%
Al-Hilal 70.29%
NEOM SC
2-1 @ 3.7% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.81% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.48% (-0.26)
Total : 13.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.34% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.30)
0-0 @ 3.34% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.04)
Total : 16.06%
Al-Hilal
0-2 @ 10.63% (+0.61)
0-1 @ 9.83% (+0.76)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 7.17% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.18)
Other @ 21.71% (-0.27)
Total : 70.29%