Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.33%) and 1-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.