Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.81% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%) , while for a Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.