Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 1-2 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.