Saudi Pro League Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
King Khalid Sport City Stadium

NEOM SC vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Al Shabab 3 - 2 NEOM SC
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Said Benrahma

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.10pm
Al Kholood 0 - 0 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw has a probability of 22.15% and a win for NEOM SC has a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.81%) , while for a NEOM SC win it is 1-0 (5.68%).

Result

NEOM SC 21.54% (+0.24)
Draw 22.15% (+0.72)
Al-Ahli 56.36% (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.41% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.54% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 21.46% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 55.92% (-1.29)
Under 2.5 44.08% (+1.29)
Over 3.5 34.77% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 65.23% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 21.04% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 78.96% (+0.70)

First Half Winner

NEOM SC 20.32% (+0.59)
Draw 42.01% (+0.58)
Al-Ahli 37.67% (-1.16)

Team To Score First

NEOM SC 35.61% (+0.97)
No Goal 5.67% (+0.59)
Al-Ahli 58.72% (-1.56)

Corners

Over 8 56.14% (+4.32)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.03)
Under 8 31.95% (-4.35)
Over 9 44.14% (+3.87)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.44)
Under 9 43.86% (-4.32)
Over 10.5 33.1% (+3.16)
Under 10.5 66.9% (-3.15)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 1.5 25.94% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 74.06% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 8.88% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 91.12% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 2.59% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.41% (-0.08)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 82.26% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 17.74% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 54.72% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 45.28% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 28.07% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 71.93% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 12.28% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 87.72% (+0.18)

Score analysis

NEOM SC 21.55%
Draw 22.15%
Al-Ahli 56.36%
NEOM SC
1-0 @ 5.68% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.27% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.51% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.38% (-0.06)
Total : 21.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.67% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.12)
Total : 22.15%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 10.17% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.49)
0-2 @ 9.53% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.54)
Other @ 12.07% (-0.30)
Total : 56.36%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Aug 28, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT