Saudi Pro League
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT King Khalid Sport City Stadium
  • Saïd Benrahma 72' yellowcard
  • Alaa Hejji 72' yellowcard
  • Islam Hawsawi 80' yellowcard
  • Abdulaziz Noor 81' yellowcard
  • Awn Al-Saluli 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 55'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 64'
  • goal Enzo Millot 67'
  • yellowcard Matheus Gonçalves 72'
  • yellowcard Firas Al-Buraikan 72'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Sulaiman 83'
  • yellowcard Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 84'
  • yellowcard Eid Al-Muwallad 90'

NEOM SC vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.30pm
Al Ettifaq 0 - 0 NEOM SC
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Nathan Zeze

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Ahli 4 - 1 Al Khaleej
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.83% and a win for NEOM SC had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.18%) and 0-1 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%) , while for a NEOM SC win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

NEOM SC 18.46% (-0.08)
Draw 20.83% (-0.17)
Al-Ahli 60.7% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.39% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 57.36%
Under 2.5 42.64%
Over 3.5 35.05% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 64.95% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.02% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.98% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

NEOM SC 18.23% (-0.17)
Draw 38.06% (+0.16)
Al-Ahli 43.71% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

NEOM SC 31.52% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.31% (-0.04)
Al-Ahli 63.17% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.77% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 32.82% (-0.15)
Over 9 44.34% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.23% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 33.79% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 66.21% (-0.11)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 1.5 23.06% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 76.94% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 7.18% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.82% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (+0.02)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 84.37% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 15.63% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 58.25% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 41.75% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 31.22% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 68.78% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.41% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 85.59% (-0.05)

Score analysis

NEOM SC 18.45%
Draw 20.84%
Al-Ahli 60.7%
NEOM SC
1-0 @ 4.94% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 4.72% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 20.84%
Al-Ahli
0-2 @ 10.23% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 10.18%
0-1 @ 10.13% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 14.31% (+0.08)
Total : 60.7%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Aug 28, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT