Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2026 5.30pm
EGO STADIUM

Al Ettifaq vs NEOM SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ettifaq

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 5.30pm
Al Ittihad 0 - 1 Al Ettifaq
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Francisco Calvo

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Al Shabab 3 - 2 NEOM SC
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Said Benrahma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEOM SC win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw has a probability of 21.86% and a win for Al Ettifaq has a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.87%) , while for a Al Ettifaq win it is 2-1 (5.42%).

Result

Al Ettifaq 21.06% (-0.25)
Draw 21.86% (+0.02)
NEOM SC 57.12% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.07% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 18.93% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 60.07% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 39.93% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 37.65% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 62.35% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 23.29% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.71% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Al Ettifaq 20.19% (-0.06)
Draw 37.82% (+0.08)
NEOM SC 41.99% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Al Ettifaq 31.61% (-0.50)
No Goal 4.69% (+0.05)
NEOM SC 63.7% (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 53.14% (-0.33)
Equal 8 12.17% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.69% (+0.31)
Over 9 41.19% (-0.32)
Equal 9 11.95% (-0.03)
Under 9 46.86% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 30.45% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 69.55% (+0.26)

Al Ettifaq Goals

Over 1.5 27.55% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 72.45% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 9.53% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 90.47% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 2.78% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 97.22% (+0.05)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 0.5 84.12% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 15.88% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 57.19% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 42.81% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 30.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Al Ettifaq 21.05%
Draw 21.87%
NEOM SC 57.13%
Al Ettifaq
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 5.02%
2-0 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.55% (-0.06)
Total : 21.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.69% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.87%
NEOM SC
1-2 @ 10.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.27% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.43% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.5% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.88% (+0.02)
Total : 57.13%