Saudi Pro League
Jan 28, 2026 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alinma Stadium
  • Ivan Toney 17' goal
  • Ivan Toney 27' yellowcard
  • Valentin Atangana Edoa 64' goal
  • Valentin Atangana 64' goal
  • Firas Albirakan 65' yellowcard
  • Firas Al-Buraikan 65' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sulaiman 72' yellowcard
  • Waheb Saleh 73' yellowcard
  • Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 73' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 83' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 84' yellowcard
  • Yazan Madani 85' yellowcard
  • Eid Al Muwallad 85' yellowcard
  • Eid Al-Muwallad 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mashel Ali 37'
  • yellowcard Meshal Al-Sibyani 37'
  • yellowcard Mohau Nkota 56'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Abdullah Al Ghamdi 70'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Abdullah Al Ghamdi 71'
  • yellowcard Majed Dawran 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Ghamdi 71'
  • yellowcard João Costa 71'

Al-Ahli vs Al Ettifaq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
NEOM SC 0 - 3 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Al Ettifaq

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.20pm
Al Kholood 1 - 2 Al Ettifaq
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Georginio Wijnaldum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.41% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%) , while for a Al Ettifaq win it was 1-2 (5.85%).

Result

Al-Ahli 55.4% (+0.11)
Draw 22.41% (+0.15)
Al Ettifaq 22.14% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.79% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.01% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 16.99% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 62.37% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 37.63% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 40.3% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59.7% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 24.99% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 75.01% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 45.59% (+0.80)
Draw 34.5% (-0.46)
Al Ettifaq 19.92% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 62.33% (+0.18)
No Goal 4.22% (+0.05)
Al Ettifaq 33.45% (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 55.12% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 33.02% (-0.17)
Over 9 43.28% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.88% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 32.44% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 67.56% (-0.13)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 57.39% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 42.61% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 31.12% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 68.88% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 13.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 86.02% (-0.03)

Al Ettifaq Goals

Over 0.5 60.73% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 39.27% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 30.09% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 69.91% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 10.75% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 89.25% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.19% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.81% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 55.4%
Draw 22.41%
Al Ettifaq 22.14%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 8.48% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.58% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.41% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.11% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 13.83% (+0.02)
Total : 55.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.42% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.22% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.41%
Al Ettifaq
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.04% (-0.11)
Total : 22.14%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Sep 12, 2025 4.25pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 33
May 22, 2025 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ivan Toney 6' goal
  • Ibanez 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdullah Ahmed Khateeb 4'
  • goal Mohammed Abdulrahman 49'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 87'
  • goal Madallah Alolayan 90'+5'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2025 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
  • Moussa Dembele 23' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Radif 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Abdulrahman 76' yellowcard
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 90'+1' goal
  • Joao Costa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Gabri Veiga 30'
  • yellowcard Riyad Mahrez 42'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 63'
  • yellowcard Fahad Ayidh Al Rashidi 90'+6'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
  • Seko Fofana 45'+3' goal
  • Firas Albirakan 49' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 60' yellowcard
  • Khalid Al Ghannam 68' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Ahmed Khateeb 88' yellowcard
  • goal Firas Albirakan 8'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Asmari 30'
  • goal Abdullah Al-Ammar 88'
  • yellowcard Sumayhan Alnabit 88'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Mohammed Al-Majhad 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdullah Ahmed Khateeb 28'