Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.73% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.