Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Kholood win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Kholood win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.